Is the Hype over?? Will prices Be Going Down?

[trashman]

Some people have paid a few hundred more for a rifle than they would have had they bought pre-Obama. Not a big deal.

What bothers me is that at some point supply will catch up to demand and soon after there will be an excess of inventory - of poorly QC'd goods, manufactured in a hurry - that will take some time to work its way through the distribution and retail channels.

Right - that is my fear as well. But I think that mfgrs are probably trying very hard to avoid to avoid over-producing because a price collapse in the secondary (used) market on EBR prices directly affects their bottom line. So if I were them....I would be producing rifles and parts at a slightly increased rate that will sustain price premium we're seeing.

Plus, folks will sell stuff from their stash -- otherwise nobody would sell any of their guns, ever, right? The activity in the classified suggests otherwise. Combine that with ~10% unemployment by the end of 2010...

What I think this means is that 1) prices for *new* stuff aren't gonna get much cheaper this year. 2) Prices for used stuff will.

EBR manufacturers are a business. If they can sustain a price premium in the marketplace for their product for identical quantities/units (thus manufacturing costs..) shipped in prior years, they will. All they have to do is not over-produce.

Demand might be more elastic than any of us think -- but gun owners are a dogged (and paranoid) bunch.

Me - I'm just enjoying to downward pressure all this is putting on non-EBR things like pre-lock S&W revolvers

--Neill