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Will ammo prices return to normal?

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  • #16
    Sac-AR15
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2011
    • 881

    Originally posted by 12voltguy
    unless you are way stocked up on primers, like 10k
    you won't be happy much longer
    I have enough ro last me awhile. . It was only because I was shooting quite a bit so I stocked up. Shooting less now till things get back to normal hopefully.
    Last edited by Sac-AR15; 01-13-2013, 8:58 PM.
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    • #17
      k1dude
      I need a LIFE!!
      • May 2009
      • 15102

      How good is your crystal ball? If legislation is passed to limit the number of rounds you can purchase, ban mail-order, and/or require a background check each time you buy, them ammo will NEVER go down in price. And I think that's exactly what the administration wants. Obama has said previously if you ban or heavily regulate ammunition, you effectively ban guns.
      "Show me a young conservative and I'll show you a man without a heart. Show me an old liberal and I'll show you a man without a brain." - Sir Winston Churchill

      "I would remind you that extremism in the defense of liberty is no vice! And let me remind you also that moderation in the pursuit of justice is no virtue!" - Senator Barry Goldwater

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      • #18
        mcat707
        Senior Member
        • Feb 2009
        • 2346

        My Magic 8 Ball says "maybe".

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        • #19
          MontClaire
          Veteran Member
          • Feb 2009
          • 4859

          Supply and demand is the law of the marketplace. Prices are already normal - you're just not earning enough money.

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          • #20
            aghauler
            Veteran Member
            • Apr 2011
            • 4794

            Originally posted by bombadillo
            They didn't after the first presidential election of obummer, thats for sure. Seems like they go WAY up, drop back down, but never really go back to the original prices. Almost like the way real estate USED to be.
            Like Fuel once they know you'll pay the price it NEVER goes back to where it started!

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            • #21
              Sundo
              Member
              • Oct 2009
              • 138

              I think prices will come back down from their highs but the subsequent price floor will be raised a bit, perhaps 5-10%, from previous lows.

              I use PMC 9 mm 115 gr FMJ and .223 55 gr FMJ as my ammo price index. After the 2008 election craze, prices settled down to $200-250/1000 9 mm and $300-350/1000 .223. I'm sure prices were somewhat below that well before the 2008 election.

              I expect the next lows in pricing will be $225-275/1000 9 mm and $325-375/1000 in .223. This incremental increase will reflect gradually rising costs of materials and energy, and would take place even without the current craze.

              Prices should come down during the 6-12 month period after the final form of new legislation becomes apparent. I don't expect new legislation to depress ammo sales. There may be additional fees, checks, etc. but people will continue buying ammo.

              Ammo sales will be temporarily depressed because many people will have overstocked their personal stashes and will shoot them off before resuming normal purchasing patterns. There may be a brief dip even below previous lows.

              The current ammo craze cycle is prolonged by the recent mass shootings and the real threat of new legislation. I expect both effects will eventually wear off, although they are extending the craze beyond the election cycle.

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              • #22
                Kraviwannabe
                Member
                • Apr 2012
                • 214

                In the Sac area I haven't seen a sharp jump in ammo prices. What I have seen is supply shortages. For the most part, the small business gun stores haven't been gouging or trying to take advantage of the increased demand. At the Ammo Depot I was able to get Rem. .40 FMJ for about $18.00 a box of 50. But all of the bulk deals are gone because of supply.

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                • #23
                  smittty
                  Calguns Addict
                  • Feb 2008
                  • 6254

                  My guess is at least 6 months but probably closer to one year.

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                  • #24
                    WETP
                    Member
                    • Feb 2012
                    • 134

                    My guess all prices + 15%-25%. If you look at what happend to prices after big events. They all finish a little higher than before. Talking about time frame, will only happen when the buyers stop buying at the current high cost.

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                    • #25
                      Mike718
                      Junior Member
                      • Aug 2011
                      • 97

                      Originally posted by WETP
                      My guess all prices + 15%-25%. If you look at what happend to prices after big events. They all finish a little higher than before. Talking about time frame, will only happen when the buyers stop buying at the current high cost.
                      +1
                      Remember what happen in 07, the price of ammo never drop to pre Nov 07 price. I remember purchasing before 50 rds of 45 HST for $22, price never went back down to that price again.
                      Last edited by Mike718; 01-13-2013, 4:38 PM.

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                      • #26
                        myk
                        Calguns Addict
                        • Sep 2012
                        • 5955

                        What is "normal?"


                        I don't always save the world, but when I do, it's in 24 hours or less...

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                        • #27
                          Sunday
                          Calguns Addict
                          • Jan 2010
                          • 5574

                          The people who bought up the ammo will have quite a supply and when the new tax rates hit and higher fees then cap and trade hits there will be less money for non essential goodies so I wonder what will happen to the ammo prices.
                          California's politicians and unionized government employees are a crime gang that makes the Mexican drug cartels look like a Girl Scout Troop in comparison.

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                          • #28
                            Sunday
                            Calguns Addict
                            • Jan 2010
                            • 5574

                            Originally posted by Mike718
                            +1
                            Remember what happen in 07, the price of ammo never drop to pre Nov 07 price. I remember purchasing before 50 rds of 45 HST for $22, price never went back down to that price again.
                            In 2002 oil for my boat cost $6.50 per gallon and now it is $13.00 The dollar is worth less. The corporations know the consumers will pay more for ammo. Remember the consumers are in majority pretty much mindless sheep and like to be sheered.
                            California's politicians and unionized government employees are a crime gang that makes the Mexican drug cartels look like a Girl Scout Troop in comparison.

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                            • #29
                              burr2of4
                              Member
                              • Nov 2010
                              • 476

                              Originally posted by Riddler
                              Shooting turned into a rich mans sport.
                              When I go to the range and see people
                              shoot AR-15's, I say they must be ballin.
                              how do you figure? before the panic i bought an AR for under $800 and i was buying tulammo 223 an walmart for 5 bucks a box
                              you can have my gun when you pry it from my cold dead hand!

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                              • #30
                                Beelzy
                                Calguns Addict
                                • Apr 2008
                                • 9224

                                Ammo prices will return to normal, right after the Pope cleans my Unicorn's stable.
                                "I kill things for a living, don't make yourself one of them"

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