Tea Leaf Reading on St. Benitez Timing????

[AlmostHeaven]

Another Friday.... come & gone

It really is agonizing. There are four Benitez cases all waiting to be appealed up to the Ninth Circuit (no matter what the rulings say, it will get appealed), and Bianchi here in the Fourth Circuit is waiting to have en banc requested and then appealed to the Supreme Court.

All this moves like molasses while the leeches in full-time state legislatures trample our rights at lightning speed.

[BlueOvalBandit]

All this moves like molasses while the leeches in full-time state legislatures trample our rights at lightning speed.

This is really the crux of the frustration. It just takes days to pass terrible laws and years of fighting to have them removed. They know they can basically do "human wave" attack of bad laws and drag it out until they get a favorable court composition.

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[SpudmanWP]

As more and more cases get through the post-Bruen landscape, the issues at hand will be "settled" which will give courts more incentive to issue quick PIs to stop them in their tracks.

[AlmostHeaven]

As more and more cases get through the post-Bruen landscape, the issues at hand will be "settled" which will give courts more incentive to issue quick PIs to stop them in their tracks.

Fingers crossed that 2024 feels very different from 2023.

[SpudmanWP]

Remember that the forthcoming 2ATidaWave started as an earthquake far out at sea., Next up, waters start to recede as people panic at what they know is coming.

A tidal wave takes time to build, but when it hits, it's a total wipeout.

[GetMeCoffee]

It's always darkest before the dawn

[SteveH]

Is he waiting on the Maryland case, ACBs response to Illinois?

[gobler]

Maybe he's waiting for the 4th of July... 🫡

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[CurlyDave]

At this point I would rather he wait until there is finality on what SCOTUS will do in the Illinois case.

A decision from Benitez, no matter how well done, only muddies the water right before SCOTUS speaks.

If we get a good decision there Benitez can still fill in a lot of the blanks and make his mark. If SCOTUS declines to intervene, we have lost a few weeks, nothing more.

[tenemae]

It's like that pot of water on the stove. It won't start boiling until you've forgotten about it

[Sgt Raven]

At this point I would rather he wait until there is finality on what SCOTUS will do in the Illinois case.

A decision from Benitez, no matter how well done, only muddies the water right before SCOTUS speaks.

If we get a good decision there Benitez can still fill in a lot of the blanks and make his mark. If SCOTUS declines to intervene, we have lost a few weeks, nothing more.

A 3 Judge panel in the 7th called for expedited briefing on all the AWB cases in IL today.

https://youtu.be/apr5MAWfUrE

[Bhobbs]

A 3 Judge panel in the 7th called for expedited briefing on all the AWB cases in IL today.


https://youtu.be/apr5MAWfUrE

They are trying to placate SCOTUS by expediting the case, like SCOTUS demanded in Antonyuk. That doesn?t mean they will rule quickly or obey Bruen. It?s a stall tactic. SCOTUS needs to realize they are at war with the lower courts and states.

[SkyHawk]

At this point I would rather he wait until there is finality on what SCOTUS will do in the Illinois case.

Hopefully you mean finality on the emergency appeal? Because if we wait for the ultimate finality on that case we will be waiting a long freaking time - like years.

[CurlyDave]

They are trying to placate SCOTUS by expediting the case, like SCOTUS demanded in Antonyuk. That doesn?t mean they will rule quickly or obey Bruen. It?s a stall tactic. SCOTUS needs to realize they are at war with the lower courts and states.

I am hoping that SCOTUS will look at what has happened in Antonyuk (expedited briefing, but no action after that) and not be fooled a second time.

[EmpireGA]

My opinion is Benitez is waiting for everything to shake out at SCOTUS to turn down the Illinois but SCOTUS might make a statement in rebuke of all the AR and mag bans which he will use to bolster his opinion and hopefully make it harder for the 9TH Circuit to side with California. Benitez is smart and will drop his ruling at the right time.