Before I throw out these numbers, I'm going to throw out a disclaimer: None of this is meant to offend, disrespect, or raise the trolls. It is merely a speculation of numbers. The information I gathered is quoted via link, but I really have no idea how accurate it is. I have only used a search engine, calculator, and several shoulder shrugs.
According to 2013 census, http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/06000.html there are 38,332,521 people in California. I'm thinking there are more, as people aren't quite truthful for a variety of reasons. Lets Estimate 40 million just to have a higher than speculated number. Plus, it being 2014, I'm sure we have several new residents, unless more than I accounted for said "Eff this, I'm out!" and moved to a free state.
21.3% of California residents are gun owners according to this site have guns. Not sure if they would ever know how many 80%s were done, so not sure where to go with this number. I also don't know if (because it is a liberal website) they are manipulating the numbers to speculate one gun per person, so if one person has 12 guns, they are fudgeing it to state that 12 people have guns. I trust liberals like I trust the neighborhood pitbull. http://usliberals.about.com/od/Elect...Population.htm But for the sake of moving on, lets say their numbers are correct, which means 8,520,000 have guns.
How many are forum followers, news followers, gun range inhabiters? How many take courses, have thousands of rounds of ammo, know the difference between a XXX and a YYY? We are a community and I am guilty of sometimes talking to others as though they are part of this community and because they are at the range, they know what rented gun they are holding at their bachelor party. We are growing, yes, but the question I had was: How many of us will carry? Lets say a very generous 75% get super excited about the possibility of carrying and sign up(again assuming all goes well and we are approved)That is still a hefty 6,390,000. Pretty good. I like it. But these are not daily carriers. Maybe at first, but guns are heavy. They dig in to body parts. They are sometimes hard to match up with clothing(Yes you CAN wear a full size 1911 under a tanktop, but again, i am generalizing). Don't get me wrong, it would be a great thing to be able to sell a laptop on craiggies list and strap up in case its some ploy to rob you and hurt you in the process. It is a wonderful option to have, this whole defending yourself concept.
I'm going to say that half of these numbers are going to carry religiously for 6 months,(down to around 3million) then slowly trickle down to carrying in rough city's, craiggies list meetups, or special occasions where you think "man, I should gear up", or even discontinue carrying and not bother to renew their license. Broken down into percentages, my guess is:
Sheepdogs that will carry every day even after 6 months: 8% (240,000)
Those who carry when the hours are late or craigslistin it up(lets say 15 days out of the month) 12% (360,000)
Those who vehicle carry only 30% (900,000)
The wild card 50% that carrys 2-3 days out of the month(still quite generous). 1,500,000
What is the state so worried about? We just want the OPTION to protect ourselves. Because...Some wont carry past 6 months. Lets keep this conversation civil, I'm curious of what numbers you think will daily carry, 50%, 25%, 10% and not at all. Ideally we would all carry 100%, but this is not an ideal world, as we can see daily.
According to 2013 census, http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/06000.html there are 38,332,521 people in California. I'm thinking there are more, as people aren't quite truthful for a variety of reasons. Lets Estimate 40 million just to have a higher than speculated number. Plus, it being 2014, I'm sure we have several new residents, unless more than I accounted for said "Eff this, I'm out!" and moved to a free state.
21.3% of California residents are gun owners according to this site have guns. Not sure if they would ever know how many 80%s were done, so not sure where to go with this number. I also don't know if (because it is a liberal website) they are manipulating the numbers to speculate one gun per person, so if one person has 12 guns, they are fudgeing it to state that 12 people have guns. I trust liberals like I trust the neighborhood pitbull. http://usliberals.about.com/od/Elect...Population.htm But for the sake of moving on, lets say their numbers are correct, which means 8,520,000 have guns.
How many are forum followers, news followers, gun range inhabiters? How many take courses, have thousands of rounds of ammo, know the difference between a XXX and a YYY? We are a community and I am guilty of sometimes talking to others as though they are part of this community and because they are at the range, they know what rented gun they are holding at their bachelor party. We are growing, yes, but the question I had was: How many of us will carry? Lets say a very generous 75% get super excited about the possibility of carrying and sign up(again assuming all goes well and we are approved)That is still a hefty 6,390,000. Pretty good. I like it. But these are not daily carriers. Maybe at first, but guns are heavy. They dig in to body parts. They are sometimes hard to match up with clothing(Yes you CAN wear a full size 1911 under a tanktop, but again, i am generalizing). Don't get me wrong, it would be a great thing to be able to sell a laptop on craiggies list and strap up in case its some ploy to rob you and hurt you in the process. It is a wonderful option to have, this whole defending yourself concept.
I'm going to say that half of these numbers are going to carry religiously for 6 months,(down to around 3million) then slowly trickle down to carrying in rough city's, craiggies list meetups, or special occasions where you think "man, I should gear up", or even discontinue carrying and not bother to renew their license. Broken down into percentages, my guess is:
Sheepdogs that will carry every day even after 6 months: 8% (240,000)
Those who carry when the hours are late or craigslistin it up(lets say 15 days out of the month) 12% (360,000)
Those who vehicle carry only 30% (900,000)
The wild card 50% that carrys 2-3 days out of the month(still quite generous). 1,500,000
What is the state so worried about? We just want the OPTION to protect ourselves. Because...Some wont carry past 6 months. Lets keep this conversation civil, I'm curious of what numbers you think will daily carry, 50%, 25%, 10% and not at all. Ideally we would all carry 100%, but this is not an ideal world, as we can see daily.



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