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After SSE laws Pass?
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Sorry, I edited my post saying that SD meant South Dakota, not San Diego.
He's not exempt anymore (per his knowledge), but he can still get any firearm that he wants in the state of South Dakota. Class 3 stuff is also easy to come by for him - still has to file the proper paperwork, but CLEO signatures are easy to come by for him.Comment
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As long as you stay under the legal limit of, I believe 6 guns sold per year? (Someone please quote me on this)you have nothing to worry about.Comment
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Isn't the effort to overturn the roster going to be decided this summer? I, for the life of me can't understand all the legal jargon in the 2A threads.Comment
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Any chance SSE ban doesn't pass? I saw that Fed LEO are not considered roster exempt somewhere. That may help us if true.For Sale: Off Roster Handgun Moving Sale
For Sale: Off Roster CZ, Browning, PTR 91 Moving Sale
Originally posted by KWalkerMeh why bring logic into this, that makes too much sense... besides when you have bested a fool, you have accomplished nothing and he is a fool.Comment
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My background is in finance and economics. My guess is if/when the SSE ban gets passed, guns without clear alternatives will go up in value the most.
I don't want any Glock owners to get their panties in a bunch so I'll use my personal favorite, the Sig P226 & P229 (I vascillate between the two) as an example. In the near term, I don't think the value will skyrocket on those two guns. They have been on the roster a long time so there are plenty in the aftermarket for PPT. I believe the CA versions will stay on the roster. Certainly, people are willing to pay a premium for the non-CA versions of those pistols; but not many would be willing to pay a huge premium.
Over the longer term, as the used market is not replenished and more and more guns fall off the roster, then certainly popular guns will continue to gain in value as the supply shrinks. In the near term, I'd guess that off-roster versions of guns like the Sig P226/P229 and Glock 17/19 will go up 20% of their counterparts on-roster. In five years, if nothing changes it could go up to 50% or 100% premium. Now...if the P226/P229 or Glock 17/19 were to fall off the roster entirely, I would heartily agree that the prices could double or triple overnight. They are extremely popular guns and if the only available channel is PPT, it will get crazy.
The characteristics of guns that will go up in value right away would be:
1. Guns that do not have a counterpart on the roster or have never been on the roster. So, if the roster goes away, I don't think the M&P Shield will necessarily go up in value that much (I have one). It's possible the XDS could go up in value quite a bit because it has never been on the roster AFAIK.
2. Guns that haven't been around that long (in other words, not many in the aftermarket). So again, there are tons of P226 and Glock 17 in private hands, and if the price starts creeping higher, people will come out of the woodwork to sell - putting a damper on potential increases at least in the short term. I think guns like the Sig P938 and P227 have a good chance of increasing dramatically in value in the near term. They haven't been around that long and they never been on the roster. Not much used supply around.
3. Guns that are in demand. If/when the Ruger SR series falls completely off the roster, I just can't envision people paying dramatically more for them (at least in the near term). Nobody would pay $1000 for a Ruger SR9 while a Glock 17 is available on-roster for $500 or a P226 is available on-roster for $800. Substitution effect will limit price increases for items that aren't category leaders - again, in the short term. In the longer term, if the roster empties out, then obviously every single handgun could skyrocket in value.
I'm putting my own personal bets on:
Sig P938 (one in the pipeline, maybe one more before end of the year)
Sig P227 (one in hand, maybe one more)
Dan Wesson Specialist (if I can find one)
Dan Wesson ECO 9mm or Kimber Aegis
Maybe a high end 1911 to cap off the year (if I can find one)Comment
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The liberal see's the glass as half full and tries to take more.
The conservative see's glass as half empty and tries to keep it that way.
I'm with the people on the side just pouring water in the glass trying to get a drink!Comment
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Just get all the off roster guns you can get before jan 1, 2015Comment
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