2024/2025 SCOTUS TERM Speculation, Banter, and Updates

[Silence Dogood]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o2H-6bsu52c

This morning, Mark Smith (Four Boxes Diner) released this video about the 2024/2025 SCOTUS term.

I have a few questions (some of which I have posed before but I'm not sure we reached any consensus):

1. If the court granted cert. to SNOPE (originally and perhaps still BIANCHI), could the question presented to the court and/or a decision in the case be broad enough to include:
a. ban-by-name AW laws?
b. mag. bans?
2a. Have any of the cases regarding age restrictions for adults under 21 y/o been decided in favor of the states restrictions?
b. If not, couldnt the SCOTUS merely deny cert. and thereby give us the win?

IANAL but I would posit that the answers are:
1a. Yes since semi-auto firearms as a class are ubiquitous even if certain makes/models are less common therefore all SAs are protected arms that cannot be banned.
1b. Yes if the Maryland AW ban statute includes a provision for fixed mag. SAs whose magazines hold more than X number of rounds like Californias law does (I believe it does). Perhaps the answer is "no, not directly" but precedent in such a hardware ban case should in theory filter down to the mag. cases--like it was supposed to have done after HELLER.
2a. Really not sure but I was under that impression.
2b. Yes though it would not be as strongly supportive of the 2A as a published SCOTUS decision or, to a lesser extent, a GVR in the instance where the appellate courts decision had supported the law.

[gunsmith]

I like 4 boxes a whole heck of a lot more than the clickbait "armed scholar" puts up.
I used to like armed scholar but the never ending clickbait got really tiring .

[natman]

This morning, Mark Smith (Four Boxes Diner) released this video about the 2024/2025 SCOTUS term.

I have a few questions (some of which I have posed before but I'm not sure we reached any consensus):

1. If the court granted cert. to SNOPE (originally and perhaps still BIANCHI), could the question presented to the court and/or a decision in the case be broad enough to include:
a. ban-by-name AW laws?
b. mag. bans?
2a. Have any of the cases regarding age restrictions for adults under 21 y/o been decided in favor of the states restrictions?
b. If not, couldnt the SCOTUS merely deny cert. and thereby give us the win?

1a) Yes.
1b) No. IIRC, Magazine capacity is not part of Snope. However mag capacity is part of Ocean State Tactical, which is also in conference 1/24.
2a) As far as I know, while the 18-21 cases have had some success at lower levels, none have reached SCOTUS yet.