ARRRGH.
The point isn't whether or not the court is going to claim to apply strict scrutiny, it's what it will do when it does claim to be applying strict scrutiny!
The court explicitly stated what it would do, in the event it analyzes a law under strict scrutiny, for two of the three strict scrutiny analysis requirements:
That leaves only the "least restrictive means" requirement. The court was silent about that, but we already know that "least restrictive" is not interpreted literally as per 1st Amendment jurisprudence.
That may wind up being what happens, but the 9th Circuit, in Nordyke, did not telegraph any intention to do any such thing. Rather, they appeared to say that they would use already-known forms of heightened scrutiny, and also explicitly said how they would apply strict scrutiny and their justification for it (justification which just as easily applies to intermediate scrutiny). It stands to reason that if the 9th Circuit intended to do historical analysis as Kavanaugh would, then it follows they would have had no need at all to explain how they would apply strict scrutiny. So what point are you attempting to make here that is somehow relevant to the 9th Circuit's viewpoint?
I'm not at all claiming you're wrong about the DC circuit court (why in the world would you think that?), I'm only saying that it is not alone in not being "even handed" in its 2A jurisprudence -- it is joined by the 9th circuit court in that respect.
What has the brevity of a point got to do with its validity?
The point isn't whether or not the court is going to claim to apply strict scrutiny, it's what it will do when it does claim to be applying strict scrutiny!
The court explicitly stated what it would do, in the event it analyzes a law under strict scrutiny, for two of the three strict scrutiny analysis requirements:
- Automatically assume a compelling interest on the part of the state
- Automatically assume that the law is narrowly tailored.
That leaves only the "least restrictive means" requirement. The court was silent about that, but we already know that "least restrictive" is not interpreted literally as per 1st Amendment jurisprudence.
Further, why isn't Kavanaugh correct and none of us are going to apply strict scrutiny but will instead be required to apply 1790 and 1870 as an historical analysis instead?
I'm not at all claiming you're wrong about the DC circuit court (why in the world would you think that?), I'm only saying that it is not alone in not being "even handed" in its 2A jurisprudence -- it is joined by the 9th circuit court in that respect.
You should be able to make your point in 1 to 3 sentences if it's valid.
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