Tea Leaf Reading on St. Benitez Timing????

[madstyle1]

If I had to guess? maybe 2 more weeks?!?!? 🤣🤣🤣

[1911su16b870]

Rumor has it that the Washington "assault weapons" ban will be signed at 2:30pm today and that Benitez was waiting for that. Just a little double rumor for everyone lol.

The bill has passed both legislatures and the Governor is itching to sign it and take away the good people in WA 2A rights.

[tenemae]

Benitez has nothing to do with WA. Speculating on the link between the signing of the AWB and the decision of Benitez's cases makes no sense

[19K]

Benitez has nothing to do with WA. Speculating on the link between the signing of the AWB and the decision of Benitez's cases makes no sense

His ruling will have a national effect eventually.

[Zilla]

Benitez has nothing to do with WA. Speculating on the link between the signing of the AWB and the decision of Benitez's cases makes no sense

WA and CA are both in the 9th circuit, so definitely related.

[TruOil]

WA and CA are both in the 9th circuit, so definitely related.

Only if this case were in the Court of Appeals AND decided issues that were the same as those arising under the Washington law. Otherwise they are not even tangentially related, as one involves the signing of a bill that has not been judicially challenged and the other a long standing judicial challenge to an existing California statute. Legislators really don't care all that much about what trial courts do. Just look at the states that are copying the NYS statutes even after trial court injunctions were issued.

[Sgt Raven]

There are 4 AWB cases combined in Illinos in Federal Judge Stephen McGlynn District Court. In the orals, this Judge seems to understand firearms and maybe is another Judge Benitez.


transcript: https://assets.nationbuilder.com/fir...pdf?1681588201


Mark Smith video: https://youtu.be/G7pn3cJhQOk

[Zilla]

Only if this case were in the Court of Appeals AND decided issues that were the same as those arising under the Washington law. Otherwise they are not even tangentially related, as one involves the signing of a bill that has not been judicially challenged and the other a long standing judicial challenge to an existing California statute. Legislators really don't care all that much about what trial courts do. Just look at the states that are copying the NYS statutes even after trial court injunctions were issued.

Close enough to send a message......At least tangentially . Just a rumor I heard on the interwebs, most likely here.

[mit31]

It would make a lot more sense for him to release the ruling BEFORE the WA bill was passed... not after. I also agree that he is not thinking about new legislation in CA, much less other states.

Close enough to send a message......At least tangentially . Just a rumor I heard on the interwebs, most likely here.

[riderr]

Benitez shot down the state's request for the hearing delay. Yet, he delays the ruling. It's not helping the cause.

[bigstick61]

Prop 8 passed in California. Blaming Reps for the population being overwhelmingly liberal is an interesting approach.

Progressives messing with State governments using SCOTUS as a tool also has had an effect here, although some progressive Republicans like Earl Warren were complicit. For example, without Reynolds v. Sims a Republican Senate majority today would not be out of the question and a Democrat supermajority would be impossible. A Democratic supermajority in the Assembly would be more difficult to achieve.

I also don't see what is going to be solved by Republicans becoming a slight variation upon Democrats, which seems to be what certain people want, including a lot of Democrats, if you read their op-eds; they cry with crocodile tears that they want the CA GOP to be relevant again so they can have two-party governance and all the GOP has to do is adopt their positions on most or all issues. What they really want is for the GOP to become a token loyal opposition that lets them pretend to have anything other than one-party/one-ideology rule and that's what the GOP would become if it went down the suggested route.

And if the GOP were to kowtow to public opinion for the sake of merely winning elections, then why not also support gun control? Putting it to a plebiscite clearly showed it is the more popular position by a large margin. The idea that the GOP should shift Left to compete with the Left is quite folly and IMO a lot of the people promoting it are on that side of the spectrum, even if they want to believe otherwise.

[bigstick61]

His ruling will have a national effect eventually.

Still doesn't make sense for him to base his timing on the WA bill, though. It's a rather cockamamie idea.

[Sgt Raven]

Benitez shot down the state's request for the hearing delay. Yet, he delays the ruling. It's not helping the cause.

Jeez, what proof do you have that Judge Benitez is delaying his ruling? It will take as long as is needed to write a solid decision. Most of us want it done, but I have seen nothing to say it is purposely being delayed.

[Zilla]

Still doesn't make sense for him to base his timing on the WA bill, though. It's a rather cockamamie idea.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7LYpvIjJwzQ&t=5s

I dont know, this guy has a lot of contacts in that area.

[1911su16b870]

Benitez is never late...