There is the potential for a "Conviction" week. But it's highly unlikely for a number of reasons. We've existed with the potential for "Confiscation" all through this thing. There was nothing in Ms. Duncan's case that removed the legal potential for non-criminal confiscation of large-capacity magazines.
The reason I suggest that it's highly unlikely is that LE agencies don't like to involve themselves in pending litigation. There was a lot of LE interest in bringing a test case to court, but now that one exists, they're taking a "wait and see" posture. The fact that we haven't seen massive reports of confiscations kinda backs up that view.
One purpose of the "Mandate" is to avoid the "Judicial Whiplash" that would result if a Circuit Court decision were issued, and then changed by either a re-hearing, or Supreme Court decision. Rule 41 allows (but does not require) the Circuit Court to stay the mandate if either action is initiated.
If Ms. Duncan does file a request for Certiorari with the Supreme Court, the Ninth Circuit may stay the mandate until the Supreme Court action is finished. That pretty much leaves things as they are, and without interruption.
But the Ninth Circuit is not required to issue a stay. It's anyone's guess at this point how they would respond to the request.
The reason I suggest that it's highly unlikely is that LE agencies don't like to involve themselves in pending litigation. There was a lot of LE interest in bringing a test case to court, but now that one exists, they're taking a "wait and see" posture. The fact that we haven't seen massive reports of confiscations kinda backs up that view.
One purpose of the "Mandate" is to avoid the "Judicial Whiplash" that would result if a Circuit Court decision were issued, and then changed by either a re-hearing, or Supreme Court decision. Rule 41 allows (but does not require) the Circuit Court to stay the mandate if either action is initiated.
If Ms. Duncan does file a request for Certiorari with the Supreme Court, the Ninth Circuit may stay the mandate until the Supreme Court action is finished. That pretty much leaves things as they are, and without interruption.
But the Ninth Circuit is not required to issue a stay. It's anyone's guess at this point how they would respond to the request.



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