Children don't spread COVID as much as adults? Really?

[Scota4570]

Not data. You're using a very specific number 15X, show me where probable cases are 15X greater than laboratory confirmed cases?

For example here's MN:

https://www.health.state.mn.us/diseases/coronavirus/situation.html

Data is for cases that were tested and returned positive.

OK, about 15X, maybe it is 10X?? You sound like a defense attorney badgering a witness. The point is it is wildly inflated. Take the time to read over what I provided.

[balgor]

OK, about 15X, maybe it is 10X?? You sound like a defense attorney badgering a witness. The point is it is wildly inflated. Take the time to read over what I provided.

https://coronavirus.ohio.gov/wps/portal/gov/covid-19/home

Ohio probable cases are ~7% of reported cases.

[Scota4570]

https://coronavirus.ohio.gov/wps/por.../covid-19/home

Ohio probable cases are ~7% of reported cases.

Per CDC guidelines probable cases, suspected cases, contact traced, and actual tested postive are all reported as a "CASE". Please read the CDC link provided

I don't think we are talking about the same thing.

We can never know how many people have been exposed and now have antibodies because we do not test everyone. Having been exposed sufficient to have antibodies is a possible sane definition of case. A more sane one would be people who are actually sick with covid.

We can not know the truth because the are playing fast and loose with the numbers.

Based on the current criteria for a "case" at some point the number of "cases" will exceed the number of individuals in the population a large. Contact tracing results will begin to overlap and counting individuals multiple times will add up to a greater number than the whole population.

[wpage]

The new democratic motto for the virus...

"Figures dont lie, liars figure."

[Dan_Eastvale]

Was shown in a French study....
The study also showed that children are less likely to transfer to each other and to adults..
Europe is opening schools. Utah will open schools in fall... with schoolbusses.
Most here want their kids back.

Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk

[duenor]

I was frankly surprised that so many of our teachers supported in-class learning, but they are. Since they're at greatest risk, I'm not inclined to push them off that idea. However, we are also putting in quite a few firebreaks, so when the inevitable exposure does occur it's not likely to spread to the entire teaching corps, and we can then evaluate if this approach is working or not. It may fail spectacularly and we may be back 100% online in a month or so, but we won't expose the whole school learning that lesson, should it occur.

I hope your models are right (I won't pretend to understand how such modeling might be developed). It's almost certain that this will be the predominant model, right now. I'm curious how your firebreaks are, and I think that's the right approach (rotating teachers through a two week periods - trying to wrap my head around that), but from what I see so far none of the districts i am associated with are thinking this way.

Agree that SPED is absolutely being abandoned right now. Right before the shutdown I did the paperwork and helped arrange for an autistic (non verbal) girl get an ipad so she can use it to communicate (touching pictures for what she wants, and the ipad says it verbally). SPED means some families are really badly stuck. No one to care for the kids during the day means mom or dad have to stay home. that parent is worn out caring for the kid with special needs while the other parent is at risk of losing their job or getting sick.

[AR15fan]

It's hard to tell, schools have been closed and the only place children have a large number of social contacts is at school. The countries that have reopened schools haven't seen any spikes, but they greatly lowered their viral prevalence before opening schools. I'm sure somewhere (looking at you FL) will open their schools without community spread being under control and we'll get to see what happens.

Schools never closed in Sweden. No spike.