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2nd Amend. Litigation Updates & Legal Discussion Discuss California 2A related litigation and legal topics here. All advice given is NOT legal counsel. |
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#161
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I think the mandate won't actually issue until en banc is determined?
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#162
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HUNDREDS of SD folk, incl people denied in the past by Gore, have now gotten CA CCWs from Gore. After the June 6th election, Gore has continued to readily issue CCWs. Bottom line: I hope our side uses this to sue sheriffs that hate carry the most: SF, Ala, and/or LA counties.... ![]()
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#163
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They'll appeal en banc for sure. SCOTUS on the other hand....
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#164
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Which would also be good
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NRA lifetime member 2AF Defender member When did I go from being a "citizen" to a "taxpayer"? Jon Lovitz: ‘I can’t wait to go to a hospital run by the DMV!’ Peace, love, and heavy weapons. Sometimes you have to be insistent." - David Lee Roth |
#165
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I disagree. Why should they appeal en banc???
If they win en banc, great, that gives us the right to appeal to a Trump packed SCOTUS and a win there applies to all federal circuits! ![]() If they lose en banc, great, they've just established this case law against themselves even more firmly since it will be an en banc panel decision. ![]() ![]() Like I said, they won't go for en banc. ETA: outta here for today.
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240+ examples of CCWs Saving Lives. Last edited by Paladin; 07-24-2018 at 1:39 PM.. |
#166
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There are two main directions this case can go right now. Hawai'i can take its lumps and allow the case to go back to the trial court for, ultimately, an order invalidating their categorical ban of open carry. At that point, they can start issuing permits the same as they would for any security company personnel, or they can pass a new law that contains the same "good cause" requirement that is included in their ccw law. Which of course would mean virtual no issue. That would likely mean another lawsuit, with the state arguing, even under Heller, that "reasonable restrictions" can be imposed on the carriage of firearms in public. That would be appealed....and by now five or six years have passesd with no open carry, and perhaps even odds that they will prevail in both the trial court and the court of appeal.
The other course is to seek en banc, and they have a better than even chance of winning, given what the en banc panel did to Peruta, but the risk is that the Supreme Court will have Kavanaugh by the time the cert petition reaches it. And that would open a whole new can of worms if cert were granted. Will Hawai'i take the safe route or the risky route? Or will the Ninth grant en banc on its own motion, sweeping up Nichols as it goes? |
#167
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Can someone give informed opinion on this little bit (PM is ok if you don't want it publicly discussed). Is it saying what I think it's saying? Quote:
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#169
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My 10 cent prediction is they will seek en banc review, but the vote will go against en banc.
Then its back to district court for more shenanigans. Govt defendants have had too much success at 9th Cir en banc panels on 2nd Am cases to not try this. |
#170
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Looks like Wolfwood (Alan Beck) talked to Steve Gutowski (pro-2A reporter) on the Washington Free Beacon about the results of the case if anyone wants to check that article out: https://freebeacon.com/issues/federa...en-carry-guns/
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#171
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All we have for the moment is a decision that says the 2A applies outside the home and that an infringement that is a de facto ban (HI's law) is unconstitutional. If an en banc panel (don't rule it out and it will add 18 months if Peruta is any guide to the process) or the District Court mucks it up (which would require more litigation) - either way it will be some time before this decision will be vindicated in any tangible way. Unless of course, HI is persuaded to take one for the team and settles with Young to allow some sort of licensed OC...that would leave the rest of us to have to challenge our own State's laws. CA's Legislature will NEVER take the hint and fix this on their own.
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#172
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After the Wrenn en banc vote was denied, I wouldn’t be surprised if that happened again. They could really screw things up for circuits 1-4. I suspect The powers that be will push for this to die. I’m not sure if the judiciary will go for it though. The 9th is so insane I could see them trying the same stall tactics. Might not be the worse idea, they’d be banking on Ginsurb dying and trump losing 2020. That’s a big if and I don’t know if they want to be the ones who mess it up for all the other anti-2A states.
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#173
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It actually said he won without scrutiny
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Proud CGN Contributor USMC Pistol Team Alumni - Distinguished Pistol Shot Owner of multiple Constitutionally protected tools |
#174
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The decision is a pretty big win, with sound reasoning and legal authority behind it.
This is not some slapdash appellate decision. This is the beginning of the end, though we are a few years away from every citizen having an actual consitutional right they can freely exercise. |
#175
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To answer your question, the decision is not yet final and may be appealed further, so don't hold your breath. Second, the case technically applies only to Hawai'i, and can only be argued (that is, if it stands) to apply to California. The Nichols case will decide that for this state. Third, decisions of the Ninth are not binding on any other federal court of appeals, at least three of which have concluded that the Second does not extend outside the home. Last but not least, the majority of states are open carry, although some do require a license to do so (like Texas).
To put it briefly, this decision, as important as it is to us, doesn't have a lot of applicability outside of Hawai'i and perhaps California. |
#176
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https://www.sfgate.com/news/us/artic...n-13101024.php
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240+ examples of CCWs Saving Lives. |
#177
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All that MUST happen is that a HI court must re-do their thinking, with this decision in mind. They can still arrive at the same opinion -- no carry. But even if they say, "OK, Young can carry", the HI AG can appeal that decision to the 9th, where we know it will die. O'Scannlain and Ikuta are behind enemy lines. Great decision, great work by wolfwood, but the 9th is just waiting to swat this down. Peruta proved this beyond any doubt. And if I'm the antis, I'm not afraid of SCOTUS. I'm going to make SCOTUS prove it. I'm going to test Roberts' commitment to the 2A, and fear of controversy. And I'll probably win. 90% chance SCOTUS doesn't grant cert, most cases never get cert. The deny cert and I win -- you have to take those odds. And even if they take the case, we don't know if Roberts is willing to go so far as to give carry to all Americans. So my odds improve again. The antis would be idiots not to push this all the way to SCOTUS. They have every expectation of winning -- SCOTUS hasn't touched a firearms case in forever, and there's nothing indicating they're ready to grant carry. eta: Now if, in the years before the 9th destroys this (en banc if necessary), SCOTUS does show some pro-2A backbone, then HI does reconsider.
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![]() ![]() Last edited by speedrrracer; 07-24-2018 at 2:34 PM.. |
#178
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There could be a sua sponte call for en banc, as judges won't have exactly the same political considerations as Hawaii officials have, but then would the full circuit vote for the en banc? I don't think so because again, they are taking a huge gamble which they would likely lose, and that means losing NYC.
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"Weakness is provocative." Senator Tom Cotton, president in 2024 Victoria "Tori" Rose Smith's life mattered. |
#181
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TRuOIL:
I do not mean to be argumentative, but it is my understanding that decisions by a court of appeals apply to the entire jurisdiction of that specific court. A decision by the 9th applies to all states within their jurisdiction, which of course includes California. If this decision is upheld, it will/does aptly to California. (nine western States and two territories) Last edited by 003; 07-24-2018 at 2:56 PM.. |
#182
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Dave Kopel's (pro-2A law professor) analysis of Young v. Hawaii case here: https://reason.com/volokh/2018/07/24...ht-to-licensed
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#183
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#184
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I think D.C. turned down the en banc vote, because they wanted to be strategic, but most importantly D.C. is the SCOTUS stepping stone. The 9th on the other hand is filled with a bunch of far left judges who are going to take their **** to the grave. My prediction: Hawaii decides not to appeal, en banc is called sua sponte, the vote narrowly passes. We lose at en banc. SCOTUS taking the case...I don't know. I want to say they will given the composition of the court and the clear circuit split, but they've disappointed me so many times that it's hard to picture them pulling through finally. The left has two big battles. Fight off National Reciprocity/SCOTUS ruling on carry, and assault weapon bans/SCOTUS taking AWB case. I think when they lose one of these two it will politically hit them pretty hard. I think guns will go the way of Gay Marriage which as has gained national 7% approval since the 2015 ruling (currently at 67%). The core gun control advocates will always be there, but voters the voters in the middle and center-left will be over it. |
#185
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As has been discussed here many times, "scrutiny" is a wholly non-constitutional, a-historic abomination with no basis in anything. Why
would an honest reading of the 2nd rely on, or even mention, this perversion of law?
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What about the 19th? Can the Commerce Clause be used to make it illegal for voting women to buy shoes from another state? |
#186
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Because it says so:
"REMANDED for further proceedings consistent with this opinion" Thats it. So the case must go back to HI court, and they must have further proceedings (meaning, a do-over) consistent with this opinion. Quote:
eta: and by "no carry" I mean they'll say carry is just fine, but so is a system of virtual no-issue, where only elevated good cause / special circumstances / etc can get temporary carry permits which expire shortly after they are printed.
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![]() ![]() Last edited by speedrrracer; 07-24-2018 at 3:18 PM.. |
#187
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is explicitly unconstitutional? So they're going to adopt a virtual no-issue policy consistent with a ruling stating they cannot adopt a virtual no-issue? |
#188
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Hawaii and California are the only "may issue" states in the 9th. The rest are constitutional carry or shall-issue. If this case doesn't make it SCOTUS then it will really only affect those two states, assuming it's upheld in the first place. Last edited by wireless; 07-24-2018 at 3:32 PM.. |
#190
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__________________
240+ examples of CCWs Saving Lives. |
#191
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#192
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and I was certainly combining steps. The decision will probably say, "Young must be allowed to apply for OC; bad state of Hawaii law!" and that'll be the end of the decision. Then the AG will appeal and the 9th will kill it OR the HI legislature will tell the AG to let it slide, and write a virtual no-issue set of regs (like those here in, say SF or LA or a stricter set of the ones in SD). Then Young will fail to meet those regs (or maybe he will get his permit just to shut him up, who knows, a couple of people OCing is not the end of the world, as long as 99.999999% of those who wish to OC are denied, the state will be happy), and we'll have gained nothing in reality. As the Volokh article above makes clear, the next battle is over the no-issue regs "Instead, Hawaii County could deny the permit on the grounds that Mr. Young has not demonstrated sufficient "need." The denial would probably start a new case, on the permissible stringency of Hawaii's definition of "need."" And you know how the 9th will rule on that. So again, this decision is no victory for the 2A, in spite of wolfwood's excellent work and O'Scannlain's epic opinion. Not saying a victory can't come someday, but it didn't come in this decision.
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![]() ![]() Last edited by speedrrracer; 07-24-2018 at 4:47 PM.. |
#193
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Yeah, we're on the same page now.
This is where I'm placing my money (emphasis mine) |
#194
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Wow...
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#196
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If Kavanaugh gets confirmed (I am sure he will) and one of the liberal justices is replaced, gun control at the state level is going to be effectively killed. While we shouldn't stop the fight, it's ok to take a look around at how much you're winning once in awhile. Shall-issue CCW, national reciprocity, and preemption of state level gun control (mag bans and assault weapons bans) is in sight. Keep fighting, but know we're closer to that goal than we've ever been. Some of you are acting like this is a loss.
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#197
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Except for last time they de-published the 3-judge Peruta opinion so worst case is really whatever the en banc pulls out of its orifice(s).
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#199
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I do not see how you can spin this development as anything but good news. |
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