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Coronavirus/COVID19 Temp Forum This is a temporary forum for discussion, debate, sharing and helping each other during and in relation to the Coronavirus/COVID19

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  #1  
Old 09-15-2020, 7:41 PM
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Default Covid data, testing, growth curves video

It is worth the time to watch....IMHO

https://youtu.be/Tk4hHE-3Hsw
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  #2  
Old 09-15-2020, 8:50 PM
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Good video, I would love to hear the uh, I don't know how to describe them, but the people who keep saying covid is dangerous, I would like to see what they think about this video.
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Old 09-16-2020, 7:04 AM
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I liked that is is mostly about facts; numbers, graphs, and not a lot of opinion.

I found it extremely interesting that the northern climate death curve and southern curve was so different. The northern plus the southern overlay-ed explains the June spike. That spike was expected because the USA has both climates. Attributing it to spring break or lack of masks was totally disingenuous.

OH, BTW, my father passed last night. I was not alloyed to see him in his last month of consciousness. Only after he was non responsive was I let in the room.
The covid hysterics stood in the way. The hospitals are guzzling the Kool-Aid. Is is precisely like a cult.

There are significant costs to the covid hysteria; jobs, schools, social interactions, elder care, on and on. And, it was 95% unnecessary, it is now 100% unnecessary. Watch the video and learn. Please pass it along before utube deletes it.

Last edited by Scota4570; 09-16-2020 at 7:16 AM..
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Old 09-16-2020, 7:30 AM
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Thanks SCOTA, Very interesting video.

Sorry to hear about your dad and we are in the same boat with my mom. I fear she will die before we are allowed access to her. It truly sucks.
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Old 09-16-2020, 8:01 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by toro1 View Post
Thanks SCOTA, Very interesting video.

Sorry to hear about your dad and we are in the same boat with my mom. I fear she will die before we are allowed access to her. It truly sucks.
I think I've asked this before, but one option may be to do in-home hospice. Medicare may pay for it, too. It's what we had planned for our family member. Unfortunately, she was covid19 positive at the end, so we had to leave her there. The SNF did allow a single representative of the family into her room, but only after they had inspected our equipment and we signed a waiver.
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Old 09-16-2020, 10:16 AM
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Originally Posted by duenor View Post
I think I've asked this before, but one option may be to do in-home hospice. Medicare may pay for it, too. It's what we had planned for our family member. Unfortunately, she was covid19 positive at the end, so we had to leave her there. The SNF did allow a single representative of the family into her room, but only after they had inspected our equipment and we signed a waiver.
That was the plan. Once the person is in a crisis and asks to go the the hospital they are then locked away. My father needed to start dialysis, once that was started things went down hill, he went to ICU, and only when he was obviously hours to days to live were we allowed to visit.

Common sense and good planning is not an option. It all goes out the window in real life.
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Old 09-16-2020, 11:46 AM
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Well may be time to whip up another virus release since this one didn’t do too much.
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Old 09-16-2020, 2:10 PM
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Wow, 1 minute in:

Gompertz Curve from Michael "Dunning-Kruger Effect" Levitt.

https://twitter.com/mlevitt_np2013/s...738496?lang=en

US COVID19 will be done in 4 weeks with a total reported death below 170,000. How will we know it is over? Like for Europe, when all cause excess deaths are at normal level for week. Reported COVID19 deaths may continue after 25 Aug. & reported cases will, but it will be over.

https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/no...-deaths-621407

Israeli Nobel Prize winner Michael Levitt has predicted that no more than ten Israelis will succumb to COVID-19 – and even less with the new restrictions – since the number of cases is so few.

Levitt has been trying to pound that square peg (Gompertz Curve) into a round hole (Covid is clearly not following a natural evolutionary path of a Gompertz Curve) for months. His erroneous predictions has all been made using his pet Gompertz Curve model.

80% of the population is already defacto immune!

Ummmm, you do realize if 80% of a population is "de facto immune", you already have herd immunity, there would have been no to limited spread!

I can't watch anymore, the only way you believe that video is out of an absolutely virulent case of confirmation bias that has destroyed all the critical thinking regions of your frontal cortex.

Last edited by balgor; 09-16-2020 at 2:17 PM..
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Old 09-16-2020, 4:22 PM
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Confirmation bias is a huge factor. In in the video the things explained are confirmed by independent sources. For instance the # deaths vs time for the northern climates and southern climates is confirmed by the CDC.
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019...ity-report.gif
It appears to have had noting to do with Florida spring break parties but was the expected curve for any flu outbreak. I has happened the same way before. Give the video a chance, be skeptical, and check it against the sources. Don't just discount it because the information is uncomfortable at first glance.
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Old 09-16-2020, 6:00 PM
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Makes sense.......I love the pub analysis. No mask, little distancing and beer!
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Old 09-16-2020, 7:52 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by balgor View Post
Wow, 1 minute in:

Gompertz Curve from Michael "Dunning-Kruger Effect" Levitt.

https://twitter.com/mlevitt_np2013/s...738496?lang=en

US COVID19 will be done in 4 weeks with a total reported death below 170,000. How will we know it is over? Like for Europe, when all cause excess deaths are at normal level for week. Reported COVID19 deaths may continue after 25 Aug. & reported cases will, but it will be over.

https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/no...-deaths-621407

Israeli Nobel Prize winner Michael Levitt has predicted that no more than ten Israelis will succumb to COVID-19 and even less with the new restrictions since the number of cases is so few.

Levitt has been trying to pound that square peg (Gompertz Curve) into a round hole (Covid is clearly not following a natural evolutionary path of a Gompertz Curve) for months. His erroneous predictions has all been made using his pet Gompertz Curve model.

80% of the population is already defacto immune!

Ummmm, you do realize if 80% of a population is "de facto immune", you already have herd immunity, there would have been no to limited spread!

I can't watch anymore, the only way you believe that video is out of an absolutely virulent case of confirmation bias that has destroyed all the critical thinking regions of your frontal cortex.
Balgor, you are safe. We are safe. The virus is not nearly as bad as the government said. Go ahead, take of the mask, hug your friends, and enjoy life. You will be just fine.
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