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Coronavirus/COVID19 Temp Forum This is a temporary forum for discussion, debate, sharing and helping each other during and in relation to the Coronavirus/COVID19 |
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#1
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Epidemic Threshold
Please enlighten me.
For Covid (or Flu) to be an epidemic the historical number of deaths is between 6% and 8%. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019...ity-report.png Today the deaths for Covid (and all other flu) is https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tra...ilytrendscases 650 deaths per week, x 52 weeks is 33,800/ year 2.8 million deaths per year That is 1.2% of deaths from covid and other flu. The last time checked, 1.2% is less than 6%. 1.2% is also very low by historical standards. It seems to me there is no epidemic or pandemic. It is over. Last edited by Scota4570; 05-07-2021 at 8:14 PM.. |
#3
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Current estimates are that worldwide COVID-19 deaths are at least double the so-called “official” numbers.
https://www.statnews.com/2021/05/06/...ial-estimates/ |
#4
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I am only considering USA data, It is CDC data.
Today it would have to be 5X the official numbers to be an epidemic again. Or maybe my math and logic is flawed?................ Last edited by Scota4570; 05-07-2021 at 2:44 PM.. |
#5
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There must be a lot of car crashes and cancer deaths in other countries....
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Yes I'm a new world samurai and a redneck nonetheless Yes I'm a new world samurai I can read your mind Check it out I'm like a buzz bomb |
#6
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I guess it's not even "just the flu" it is much milder. Just the sniffles?
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Where the people fear the government you have tyranny. Where the government fears the people you have liberty.
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#9
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#10
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Other than maybe jinxing our luck why would anyone shout you down? Flu doesn't have the ground glass symptom and whatever I might be deeply distrustful of it's inconceivable that so many would be allowed to die to forward a myth. The truth won't come any time soon and it won't come at all unless it's insisted on. The label "pandemic" is useful to rally the troops, however well we come to learn that went "over" is a long way off.
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What do you call the people that abandoned the agenda of John Kennedy and adopted the agenda of Lee Oswald? Pronouns: "Dude" and "Playa". https://billstclair.com/Unintended-Consequences.pdf I was born under a wandrin star. |
#11
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Your link says they expect (ie an estimate) that there will be 949,000 excess deaths from Covid by Sept of 2021. There is no way their estimates can be supported by the data of 2020 and the reality of what is going on now. Follow the data as Scota has done and quit relying on articles written by people with an agenda. Last edited by toro1; 05-08-2021 at 5:53 AM.. |
#13
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We should still remember that there were only like 8 flu deaths in 2020
That's pretty weird!
__________________
Where the people fear the government you have tyranny. Where the government fears the people you have liberty.
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#15
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Link please on the CDC change cited in the previous post?
That would put covid deaths at about 150K per calendar year. That is a number I have believed to be more plausible. CDC now claims 577K. Sounds like bunk. Keep in mind they have not stopped counting since it started. Past convention was to stop October 1st and start at zero again. Never have they ever combined multiple flu seasons. Playing games with the numbers negatively impacts their credibility to me. Last edited by Scota4570; 05-08-2021 at 10:22 AM.. |
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