Calguns.net  

Home My iTrader Join the NRA Donate to CGSSA Sponsors CGN Google Search
CA Semiauto Ban(AW)ID Flowchart CA Handgun Ban ID Flowchart CA Shotgun Ban ID Flowchart
Go Back   Calguns.net > POLITICS, LITIGATION AND ACTIVISM > California 2nd Amend. Political Discussion & Activism
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Mark Forums Read

California 2nd Amend. Political Discussion & Activism Discuss gun rights activism and 2A related political topics here. All advice given is NOT legal counsel.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 04-22-2013, 9:23 PM
wizdumb wizdumb is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2010
Location: San Francisco
Posts: 855
iTrader: 54 / 100%
Default Quinnipiac University poll results - The source of the "90% of Americans..." figure

I just wanted to share this so folks can read it, and hopefully use the information intelligently.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes...ReleaseID=1847

There does appear to be some bias in the bulk of questions asked, but the gun-control questions are also unspecific (when compared to some of the others).

Furthermore:
The poll was conducted January 30 - February 4, when emotions were still quite high.

The poll surveyed 1,772 registered voters, which translates to ~0.0006% of the U.S. population (313.9 M).

Geographic info (emphasis added):
Quote:
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research.

Here are the demographics of the survey.
Source: http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/pol...2013_demos.doc

(Code wrapped for proper formatting/alignment)
Code:
====================
US0213 Demographics
====================

From January 30 - February 4, 2013 Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,772 registered 
voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.3 percentage points.

PARTY IDENTIFICATION - Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a Republican,
a Democrat, an Independent, or what?

                            REGISTERED VOTERS
                            Weighted
                            Percent
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
 Republican                 24%
 Democrat                   33
 Independent                34
 Other/DK/NA                 9

PHONE DISTRIBUTION
 Cell only                  27%
 Land Line only             10
 Both, cmp from cell sample 16
 Both, cmp from land sample 47

RACE
 White                      73%
 Black                      11
 Hispanic                    9
 Other/DK/NA                 8


                     REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
Weighted Percentage  100%   24%    33%    34%    48%    52%    73%    11%     9%
MoE (+/-%)           2.33   4.57   4.04   3.96   3.27   3.32   2.59   8.56 10.05


                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
Weighted Percentage  24%    49%    34%    16%    36%    37%    21%    33%    27%
MoE (+/-%)           3.74   3.60   3.83   5.22   3.61   3.72   5.09   3.70  4.31


                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
Weighted Percentage  31%    68%    43%    27%    20%    15%    25%    38%    20%
MoE (+/-%)           3.42   3.19   3.78   4.33   4.94   8.95   6.19   3.55  3.94
__________________
Please verify historical quotes before putting them in your signature.

Last edited by wizdumb; 04-23-2013 at 11:28 AM.. Reason: Found the geographic information of the survey.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 04-22-2013, 9:51 PM
sammich sammich is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Mar 2013
Posts: 694
iTrader: 0 / 0%
Default

This poll is an example of why very few if any political opinion polls have any merit. The polling organization can play fast and loose with the questions asked and cross tabulations to get the results the client wants because that is what they are being paid for.

If they tried to pull this garbage in a survey concerning a consumer product or service they would probably put the client company relying on such data out of business.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 04-22-2013, 9:51 PM
Librarian's Avatar
Librarian Librarian is offline
Super Moderator
CGN Contributor - Lifetime
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Concord
Posts: 32,804
iTrader: 4 / 100%
Blog Entries: 6
Default

And yet
Code:
 40. Who do you think better reflects your views on guns, President Obama or the National Rifle Association?

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Obama                43%     8%    76%    38%    35%    50%    38%    70%    47%
NRA                  46     78     15     49     55     37     51     16     39
BOTH (VOL)            1      1      2      1      1      2      1      5      2
NEITHER (VOL)         5      4      2      8      6      4      5      2      4
DK/NA                 5      9      5      4      3      7      5      8      8
It would seem some of the respondents do not know the respective positions.
__________________
Calguns Wiki, Magazine Qs, Knife laws

Unless there is some way to amend a bill so you would support it,
the details do not matter until the Governor signs or allows the bill to become law.

Ask CA law questions in the How CA Laws Apply to/Affect Me Forum
- most questions that start 'Is it legal ...' go there.

Not a lawyer, just Some Guy On The Interwebs.


Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 04-22-2013, 10:22 PM
wizdumb wizdumb is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2010
Location: San Francisco
Posts: 855
iTrader: 54 / 100%
Default

I was hoping to get some insight into the geographic dispersion of those surveyed, but they don't provide that information.
__________________
Please verify historical quotes before putting them in your signature.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 04-23-2013, 2:02 AM
SilverTauron SilverTauron is offline
Calguns Addict
 
Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 5,705
iTrader: 0 / 0%
Default

On this very website,a place which most Democrats would consider slightly more radical then a Hamas chatroom, half of the respondents in a poll voted to extend California's failed background check policy to every other state in the union.

I wholeheartedly believe the 90% figure. Remember, this is 2013-you cant even get a job as a fry cook without a background check. The low information voter is so used to being vetted for mundane activities that the idea of NOT being background checked to buy a gun appears insane to them.
__________________
The more prohibitions you have, the less virtuous people will be.
The more subsidies you have, the less self reliant people will be.
-Lao-Tzu, Tau Te Ching. 479 BCE

The 1911 may have been in wars for 100 years, but Masetro Bartolomeo Beretta was arming the world 400 years before John Browning was ever a wet dream.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 04-23-2013, 8:01 AM
Yankee Clipper Yankee Clipper is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Orange County
Posts: 414
iTrader: 0 / 0%
Default

Polls done by a university residing in an extremely liberal location (the New Haven area) are, to me, suspect. I also question the timing of this poll taken right after the tragedy in nearby Newtown. Unless things have changed at Quinnipiac U in the past it's not been known as a fount of behavioral knowledge.
__________________
"That Government should be of laws rather than of men"
Good old Harry Truman was correct when he observed, "My choices in life were either to be a piano player in a whore house or a politician. And, to tell the truth, there's hardly any difference!"
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 04-23-2013, 9:34 AM
wizdumb wizdumb is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2010
Location: San Francisco
Posts: 855
iTrader: 54 / 100%
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Yankee Clipper View Post
Polls done by a university residing in an extremely liberal location (the New Haven area) are, to me, suspect. I also question the timing of this poll taken right after the tragedy in nearby Newtown. Unless things have changed at Quinnipiac U in the past it's not been known as a fount of behavioral knowledge.
It claims to be a national poll, but they don't provide geographic information of those surveyed to confirm that.
__________________
Please verify historical quotes before putting them in your signature.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 04-23-2013, 9:35 AM
wizdumb wizdumb is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2010
Location: San Francisco
Posts: 855
iTrader: 54 / 100%
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by SilverTauron View Post
On this very website,a place which most Democrats would consider slightly more radical then a Hamas chatroom, half of the respondents in a poll voted to extend California's failed background check policy to every other state in the union.

I wholeheartedly believe the 90% figure. Remember, this is 2013-you cant even get a job as a fry cook without a background check. The low information voter is so used to being vetted for mundane activities that the idea of NOT being background checked to buy a gun appears insane to them.
Given the sheer number and complexity of the existing gun laws currently on the books, it's a lot to ask of non-gunnies to be familiar with them all.
__________________
Please verify historical quotes before putting them in your signature.
Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump



All times are GMT -8. The time now is 11:04 AM.




Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2016, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Proudly hosted by GeoVario the Premier 2A host.
Calguns.net, the 'Calguns' name and all associated variants and logos are ® Trademark and © Copyright 2002-2016, Calguns.net an Incorporated Company All Rights Reserved.