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2nd Amend. Litigation Updates & Legal Discussion Discuss California 2A related litigation and legal topics here. All advice given is NOT legal counsel.

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  #2121  
Old 08-17-2017, 12:44 PM
TruOil TruOil is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cockedandglocked View Post
The odds are exactly 4.5 out of 9 (50%) unless Ruth Bader Ginsburg croaks before then, at which point the odds would become 100%.



Approximately 3% to 5% of circuit court of appeals cases are granted en banc review. However, in the 9th circuit, when it's a 2a case, the odds are 100%.
The odds of ANY case being granted cert is less than 1%. Second, it only takes four votes to grant cert. Peruta got two. As long as the sides are evenly split 4-4 with an unhappy wobbler as the deciding vote, don't count on any case getting cert until that makeup of the court changes. It is "political"; both sides want to win and neither side wants to gamble on being on the losing side.
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  #2122  
Old 08-17-2017, 12:52 PM
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ivanimal ivanimal is offline
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How old is Mr. Pena? Are they waiting for him to pass so they can drop the case due to lack of plaintiff?
57 And healthy
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  #2123  
Old 08-17-2017, 1:28 PM
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57 And healthy
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  #2124  
Old 08-17-2017, 3:10 PM
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It's more like Ivanimal IS Pena

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I guess it would make sense he is a member of this board. With Peruta shot down this is in my opinion the next highest ranking for cases that affect me.
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  #2125  
Old 08-17-2017, 3:21 PM
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It's more like Ivanimal IS Pena






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  #2126  
Old 08-17-2017, 5:23 PM
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It's more like Ivanimal IS Pena




Quote:
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