Justice Scanlon's opening remark, before Don Kilmer started, suggested the justices were very interested in the incorporation issue.
I scribbled notes most of the way; I read the Justices' questions as pretty favorable. Both Kates and Kilmer were pretty comfortable at the panel after dinner that incorporation was likely.
Don Kilmer also said he expects the decision in about 3 months; it might be a bit earlier, but he'd be surprised if it were much longer.
So, end of March to mid-April for this step.
Caution: this is still going to be a long process. Panel reminded us that post-Civil War, after 13th amendment and associated legislative actions, states still tried to ignore the changes. We can expect no less in this century.
Once again, we're in CA Bill Season.
There is no value at all complaining or analyzing or reading tea leaves to decide what these bills really mean or actually do; any bill with a chance to pass will be bad for gun owners.
Let us simply oppose them all - write, call, attend meetings with legislators and tell them they're wrong.
The details only count after the Governor signs the bills.
Not a lawyer, just Some Guy On The Interwebs.