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-   -   Quinnipiac University poll results - The source of the "90% of Americans..." figure (https://www.calguns.net/calgunforum/showthread.php?t=750159)

wizdumb 04-22-2013 9:23 PM

Quinnipiac University poll results - The source of the "90% of Americans..." figure
 
I just wanted to share this so folks can read it, and hopefully use the information intelligently.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes...ReleaseID=1847

There does appear to be some bias in the bulk of questions asked, but the gun-control questions are also unspecific (when compared to some of the others).

Furthermore:
The poll was conducted January 30 - February 4, when emotions were still quite high.

The poll surveyed 1,772 registered voters, which translates to ~0.0006% of the U.S. population (313.9 M).

Geographic info (emphasis added):
Quote:

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research.

Here are the demographics of the survey.
Source: http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/pol...2013_demos.doc

(Code wrapped for proper formatting/alignment)
Code:

====================
US0213 Demographics
====================

From January 30 - February 4, 2013 Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,772 registered
voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.3 percentage points.

PARTY IDENTIFICATION - Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a Republican,
a Democrat, an Independent, or what?

                            REGISTERED VOTERS
                            Weighted
                            Percent
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
 Republican                24%
 Democrat                  33
 Independent                34
 Other/DK/NA                9

PHONE DISTRIBUTION
 Cell only                  27%
 Land Line only            10
 Both, cmp from cell sample 16
 Both, cmp from land sample 47

RACE
 White                      73%
 Black                      11
 Hispanic                    9
 Other/DK/NA                8


                    REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
                    Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
Weighted Percentage  100%  24%    33%    34%    48%    52%    73%    11%    9%
MoE (+/-%)          2.33  4.57  4.04  3.96  3.27  3.32  2.59  8.56 10.05


                    WHITE..............................................
                    COLLEGE DEG                              BornAgnEv  Mltry
                    Yes    No    Prot  Cath  Men    Wom    Yes    No  HsHld
Weighted Percentage  24%    49%    34%    16%    36%    37%    21%    33%    27%
MoE (+/-%)          3.74  3.60  3.83  5.22  3.61  3.72  5.09  3.70  4.31


                    COLLEGE DEG  ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                    Yes    No    <50K  50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
Weighted Percentage  31%    68%    43%    27%    20%    15%    25%    38%    20%
MoE (+/-%)          3.42  3.19  3.78  4.33  4.94  8.95  6.19  3.55  3.94


sammich 04-22-2013 9:51 PM

This poll is an example of why very few if any political opinion polls have any merit. The polling organization can play fast and loose with the questions asked and cross tabulations to get the results the client wants because that is what they are being paid for.

If they tried to pull this garbage in a survey concerning a consumer product or service they would probably put the client company relying on such data out of business.

Librarian 04-22-2013 9:51 PM

And yet
Code:

40. Who do you think better reflects your views on guns, President Obama or the National Rifle Association?

                    Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Obama                43%    8%    76%    38%    35%    50%    38%    70%    47%
NRA                  46    78    15    49    55    37    51    16    39
BOTH (VOL)            1      1      2      1      1      2      1      5      2
NEITHER (VOL)        5      4      2      8      6      4      5      2      4
DK/NA                5      9      5      4      3      7      5      8      8

It would seem some of the respondents do not know the respective positions.

wizdumb 04-22-2013 10:22 PM

I was hoping to get some insight into the geographic dispersion of those surveyed, but they don't provide that information.

SilverTauron 04-23-2013 2:02 AM

On this very website,a place which most Democrats would consider slightly more radical then a Hamas chatroom, half of the respondents in a poll voted to extend California's failed background check policy to every other state in the union.

I wholeheartedly believe the 90% figure. Remember, this is 2013-you cant even get a job as a fry cook without a background check. The low information voter is so used to being vetted for mundane activities that the idea of NOT being background checked to buy a gun appears insane to them.

Yankee Clipper 04-23-2013 8:01 AM

Polls done by a university residing in an extremely liberal location (the New Haven area) are, to me, suspect. I also question the timing of this poll taken right after the tragedy in nearby Newtown. Unless things have changed at Quinnipiac U in the past it's not been known as a fount of behavioral knowledge.

wizdumb 04-23-2013 9:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Yankee Clipper (Post 11167701)
Polls done by a university residing in an extremely liberal location (the New Haven area) are, to me, suspect. I also question the timing of this poll taken right after the tragedy in nearby Newtown. Unless things have changed at Quinnipiac U in the past it's not been known as a fount of behavioral knowledge.

It claims to be a national poll, but they don't provide geographic information of those surveyed to confirm that.

wizdumb 04-23-2013 9:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SilverTauron (Post 11166650)
On this very website,a place which most Democrats would consider slightly more radical then a Hamas chatroom, half of the respondents in a poll voted to extend California's failed background check policy to every other state in the union.

I wholeheartedly believe the 90% figure. Remember, this is 2013-you cant even get a job as a fry cook without a background check. The low information voter is so used to being vetted for mundane activities that the idea of NOT being background checked to buy a gun appears insane to them.

Given the sheer number and complexity of the existing gun laws currently on the books, it's a lot to ask of non-gunnies to be familiar with them all.


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